A SEVERE cyclone expected to hit Queensland on Thursday is likely to rival, and on some measures, dwarf Cyclone Larry, which devastated parts of north Queensland.
The Bureau of Meteorology says Cyclone Yasi will be a severe category three or four cyclone when it crosses the Queensland coast, likely early on Thursday morning.
Bureau senior forecaster Ann Farrell said the latest modelling suggested Yasi would make landfall somewhere between Innisfail, in the north, and Proserpine, in the south.
If it hits as a category three, wind gusts up to 200km/h can be expected, and 250km/h if it builds to a four, as Cyclone Larry was when it devastated Innisfail and surrounding communities in March 2006.
It's currently off Vanuatu, about 1975km east, northeast of Townsville, and moving westward at about 30km/h.
"At this stage we're expecting it to continue moving towards the Queensland coast and intensify ... and it's likely to reach the coast early on Thursday morning," Ms Farrell said.