Monday, 31 January 2011

There are 2 active SW Pacific systems as of 31 Jan, 10:31 GMT

There Cyclone Yasi are 2 active SW Pacific systems as of 31 Jan, 10:31 GMT
Cyclone Yasi Current Data24-hr Ahead Projections
31 Jan, 2011 10:31 GMT1 Feb, 2011 10:31 GMT
SystemBasinLatLongWindCatLatLongWindCat
ANTHONYSW Pacific 20.0 S148.1 E40 ktsTSDISSIPATED
YASISW Pacific 13.6 S164.4 E65 kts114.6 S157.5 E95 kts2

Storm Tracker Map
Australia Cyclone Yasi
Current Satellite Images
RegionImage Type
AtlanticIRVisible
AtlanticWVIR En
NE PacificIRVisible
NW PacificIRWV
Indian OceanIRVisible
W AustraliaIRWV
E AustraliaIRWV
SW PacificIRWV
Tropical Cyclone Windspeed Scale
StrengthCategory1 Minute Maximum Sustained Winds
knotsmphkm/h
Tropical DepressionTD<34<39<63
Tropical StormTS34-6339-7363-118
Tropical CycloneCat 164-8274-95119-153
Tropical CycloneCat 283-9596-110154-177
Intense Tropical CycloneCat 396-113111-130178-210
Very Intense TCCat 4114-135131-155211-250
Very Intense TCCat 5>135>155>250
Cyclone Yasi

Gillard eyes cyclone Yasi threat

Gillard eyes cyclone Yasi threat

What Tropical Cyclone Yasi could mean for the people of Queensland is on Prime Minister's Julia Gillard's radar.

Yasi is expected to cross the Queensland coast as a severe category four cyclone late on Wednesday or early Thursday, likely between Innisfail and Mackay.

Associated rain could put parts of the deluged state at risk of flooding again.

Advertisement: Story continues below Ms Gillard said she was getting regular updates on the cyclone and had spoken to Queensland Premier Anna Bligh.

"We are very closely watching that weather formation and staying in touch with the Queensland government about what it could mean for the people of Queensland," Ms Gillard told reporters in Canberra on Monday.

Island resorts have been evacuated and ports closed ahead of Yasi's arrival.

Tropical cyclone Yasi struck Vanuatu as a tropical storm at about 12:00 GMT on 30 January.

Source: Content partner // Tropical Storm Risk

Tropical cyclone Yasi struck Vanuatu as a tropical storm at about 12:00 GMT on 30 January.Data supplied by theUS Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Centersuggest that the point of landfallwasnear13.2 S,167.6 E.Yasi brought 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around83 km/h (51 mph).Wind gusts in the area mayhave beenconsiderably higher.

The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

This alert is provided by TropicalStorm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance,Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL). TSR acknowledges thesupport of the UK Met Office.

Cyclone Yasi will come Get ready for more rain

The Sunshine Coast is likely to receive more rain this week following ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony's land-fall near Townsville.

Rain and windy conditions from the ex-cyclone, now downgraded to a low pressure system, are likely to affect the Coast from tomorrow or Wednesday.

The Bureau of Meteorology, as at Monday morning, has forecast wet and windy conditions from then and through the weekend.

Cyclone Yasi is currently located near Vanuatu and forecast to move west into the Coral Sea tomorrow. At this stage it will possibly bring more rain to the Coast, however computer modelling of its movements suggests it is not expected to encroach directly upon South East Queensland.

The Sunshine Coast has not been issued with any severe weather warnings, but given the amount of rain already experienced in our region flooding may be possible, and Sunshine Coast Council is on standby to re-activate its Disaster Management Team should it be necessary.

Cyclone Yasi expected to cross Queensland coast after Cyclone Anthony

Queensland Satellite

Cyclone Yasi expected to cross Queensland coast after Cyclone Anthony

QUEENSLAND'S island resorts are being evacuated and ports closed ahead of Cyclone Yasi, which threatens to develop into one of the worst storms the state has seen.

Premier Anna Bligh on Monday said Hamilton Island, in the Whitsundays, was starting to evacuate its guests, and other resort islands are preparing to evacuate tomorrow.

Yasi will be a severe category three or four cyclone when it crosses the coast on Thursday morning, likely between Innisfail and Proserpine.

Ms Bligh told reporters that authorities were preparing for the cyclone to trigger a storm surge that could flood low-lying areas between Innisfail and Mackay.

Residents in low-lying waterfront areas there should consider staying with friends from Tuesday, she said.

"This is a very serious threat," Ms Bligh told reporters in Brisbane.

"We have to take this very seriously and we're preparing for it.

"In addition to a very significant cyclone, possibly one of the largest we have ever seen in Queensland, we expect to see this event become a significant rainfall event in areas to the south and surrounding where it crosses the coast."

Falls of up to one metre could hit areas that have already been flooded this month, and the government was working on models to show what that would mean for central Queensland.

Ports from Cairns to Mackay will be closed from late on Tuesday.

Yasi was not expected to dissipate quickly, or turn off the coast, Ms Bligh said.

"All of the modeling right now says this is going to cross our coast ... and it may well be one of the largest and most significant cyclones that we've ever had to deal with," she said.

"We will need to take every precaution and make every preparation and that is what we are doing."

Rockhampton prepares for Cyclone Yasi

Rockhampton prepares for Cyclone Yasi

The central Queensland city of Rockhampton is preparing for a severe tropical cyclone, warning residents to be ready for potential evacuations.

Cyclone Yasi, north of Vanuatu, is tracking towards the Queensland coast and is expected to cross anywhere north of Fraser Island on Thursday morning.

The category two cyclone is expected to intensify into a category three or four by the time it hits Queensland early on Thursday, with wind gusts of 200 to 250km/ph.

Queensland's beef capital is not taking any chances and has started preparing for cyclonic winds and flash floods after hundreds of homes were inundated when the Fitzroy River flooded in early January.

Rockhampton Regional Council's Acting Mayor Rose Swadling said to make matters worst, a high tide of 4.5 metres would coincide with the cyclone's expected crossing.

Ms Swadling said while it's not yet clear where the cyclone will cross, no one could afford to be complacent especially a city still reeling from the recent floods.

She said residents in areas such as Stanage Bay, Zilzie, Keppel Sands and other coastal communities near Rockhampton need to prepare for potential evacuation or isolation from storm surges and flash flooding.

North Queensland battens down for Cyclone Yasi's fury

FLOOD-hit communities from Cooktown to Hervey Bay have been warned to expect significant rain and destructive winds as Cyclone Yasi bears down on an already sodden state.

Weather bureau meteorologist Gordon Banks rated the developing system off Fiji as very dangerous.

Mr Banks said it would move slowly inland, a situation that tended to bring flood rains, as opposed to Anthony which would dissipate fairly rapidly.

"It's developing strongly near Vanuatu and we don't expect it to lose too much strength as it moves towards the coast," Mr Banks said.

"If it is as strong as the models suggest, category three or better, heavy rain could potentially affect the interior on Friday, Saturday and Sunday."

Mr Banks said the cyclone was expected to come ashore in the north, but because it was so early in its development, nowhere between Princess Charlotte Bay on Cape York and Fraser Island in the southeast could be ruled out.

Premier Anna Bligh yesterday insisted emergency services were ready, saying "we are not battle weary, we are battle ready".

"Yes we have come through a very difficult time and our emergency resources have certainly been tested in the last couple of weeks," she said.

"They have however, I want to reassure people, had ample opportunity to restore themselves and replenish their supplies."

Bowen local Barry Locke said three boats sank outside the marina even before Cyclone Anthony was due to reach land.

The railway worker said he watched as one sank without a trace as wild winds tore at the seafront of the north Queensland town.

"That is not the scary part," he said. "This cyclone is just the dress rehearsal for the other big one out there. He is the one to worry about."

Cyclone-hardened veterans taped up houses, battened down sheds, and relocated elderly residents ahead of Anthony last night, with Yasi on the way.

Keen surfers spent six hours in the "once-in-a-year" cyclonic swell at Bowen's Horseshoe Bay, a rare phenomenon in the tropics.

Disaster officials in Bowen fear a cyclonic downpour of more than 100mm of rain will flood the town, and cut it off to the north and south.

Mayor Mike Brunker said a deluge would push the saturated Don River over the edge.

"Normally we would not get out of bed for a category two cyclone," he said.

"But tensions are high after the catastrophic flooding statewide."

Spectacular cloud formations formed over the town as heavy rain and wind squalls battered the coast about 6pm picking up in intensity ahead of the predicted early morning strike.

Caravan park managers staked down vans with heavy chains and some threw outdoor furniture into the pool to "prevent them becoming flying missiles" under winds of up to 100km/h.

"We are right in the thick of it," Don Brown, 61, of the seafront Bowen Big 4 caravan park, said last night. "The eye is somewhere above us.

"We're told the best place for the deck chairs is under water in the pool."

Lone park occupant Troy Jackson said he had helped mates tie down a half-finished shed, filled his runabout boat with water and was going to sit out the storm with a few rums and beers.

"This one is mostly wind and fizzle," the electrician said. "It is the one behind it that has the big stick."

Rockhampton Mayor Brad Carter said he had great concerns the Fiji storm could become a large rain depression. If it hit the Fitzroy catchment, it could have a major impact on his city, still recovering from flooding that started last month.

The Abbot and Hay Point coal terminals, Townsville ferries and coastal train services closed yesterday.

Ms Bligh said the Fiji storm, possibly a category four cyclone, carried great threat.

"We are looking at not only a potentially damaging cyclone but more, very heavy rainfall, which depending on where it falls, could fall into river catchments and cause further flooding beyond the cyclone," Ms Bligh said.

Weather bureau regional director Jim Davidson said modelling had repeatedly shown the storm hitting the coast.

"It is not inevitable but there is a good likelihood that we will see a fairly large system on the Queensland coast by Thursday," he said.

"Being so far from the Queensland coast and quite a few days ahead we are playing it safe I guess."

Cyclone Yasi could rival Larry, says Bureau of Meteorology

A SEVERE cyclone expected to hit Queensland on Thursday is likely to rival, and on some measures, dwarf Cyclone Larry, which devastated parts of north Queensland.

The Bureau of Meteorology says Cyclone Yasi will be a severe category three or four cyclone when it crosses the Queensland coast, likely early on Thursday morning.

Bureau senior forecaster Ann Farrell said the latest modelling suggested Yasi would make landfall somewhere between Innisfail, in the north, and Proserpine, in the south.

If it hits as a category three, wind gusts up to 200km/h can be expected, and 250km/h if it builds to a four, as Cyclone Larry was when it devastated Innisfail and surrounding communities in March 2006.

It's currently off Vanuatu, about 1975km east, northeast of Townsville, and moving westward at about 30km/h.

"At this stage we're expecting it to continue moving towards the Queensland coast and intensify ... and it's likely to reach the coast early on Thursday morning," Ms Farrell said.

Tropical cyclone Yasi struck Vanuatu as a tropical storm at about 12:00 GMT on 30 January.

Tropical cyclone Yasi struck Vanuatu as a tropical storm at about 12:00 GMT on 30 January.Data supplied by theUS Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Centersuggest that the point of landfallwasnear13.2 S,167.6 E.Yasi brought 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around83 km/h (51 mph).Wind gusts in the area mayhave beenconsiderably higher.

The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

This alert is provided by TropicalStorm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance,Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL). TSR acknowledges thesupport of the UK Met Office.

North Queensland battens down for Cyclone Yasi's fury

A SEVERE cyclone expected to hit Queensland this week is likely to rival, and on some measures, dwarf Cyclone Larry, which devastated parts of north Queensland in 2006.

The weather bureau says Cyclone Yasi will be a severe category three or four cyclone when it crosses the Queensland coast, likely early on Thursday.

Bureau senior forecaster Ann Farrell said the latest modelling suggested Yasi would make landfall somewhere between Innisfail, in the north, and Proserpine, in the south.

Premier Anna Bligh said it would take at least 24 hours before authorities could better estimate where the Cyclone Yasi would strike.

But Ms Bligh said emergency services crews right along Queensland's east coast were on alert.

She also warned areas which had suffered huge rainfalls as far south as Emerald and Rockhampton could face further flooding from Cyclone Yasi.

"We cannot rule it out,'' she said.

If it hits as a category three, wind gusts up to 200km/h can be expected, and 250km/h if it builds to a four, as Cyclone Larry was when it devastated Innisfail and surrounding communities in March 2006.

It's currently off Vanuatu, about 1975km east, northeast of Townsville, and moving westward at about 30km/h.

"At this stage we're expecting it to continue moving towards the Queensland coast and intensify ... and it's likely to reach the coast early on Thursday morning," Ms Farrell said.

"By that stage we will be looking at a severe tropical cyclone so certainly at least a (category) three, and a category four we wouldn't be ruling that out by any means."

She said the last cyclone of that magnitude to hit Queensland was category four Cyclone Larry.

Larry left a trail of destruction including damage to 10,000 homes and a repair bill of more than a billion dollars.

Ms Farrell said there were many measures on which to judge cyclones, including wind strength and the physical size of the storm.

In terms of wind strength, Yasi had the potential to rival Larry, but it was of a far greater physical size.

"One measure is how far do the gales extend from the central eye. In this case, Yasi is certainly a bigger storm," she said.

She said forecasts for Yasi would be refined as it approached, but all the modelling showed it was on course to hit the coast.

She said Yasi was a fairly fast moving system, meaning it was unlikely, on current information, to stay in the same location and dump vast amounts of rain on an already flood-devastated state.

She said the other factor to consider was the storm surge that would likely accompany the cyclone.

"The more intense the system, the greater the concern about storm surges," Ms Farrell said.

"Certainly that is a distinct threat with this system.

"How far up above the normal high water mark it reaches will depend on the timing and what the tide is. Whether it is high tide or low tide will make a difference."

Premier Anna Bligh yesterday insisted emergency services were ready, saying "we are not battle weary, we are battle ready".

"Yes we have come through a very difficult time and our emergency resources have certainly been tested in the last couple of weeks," she said.

"They have however, I want to reassure people, had ample opportunity to restore themselves and replenish their supplies."

Bowen local Barry Locke said three boats sank outside the marina even before Cyclone Anthony was due to reach land.

The railway worker said he watched as one sank without a trace as wild winds tore at the seafront of the north Queensland town.

"That is not the scary part," he said. "This cyclone is just the dress rehearsal for the other big one out there. He is the one to worry about."

cyclone yasi track

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